A balanced budget. A $16 million question.
The adopted budget relies on accumulated General Fund balance. The important test is whether recurring finances improve.
Read the analysisPublic safety · PUBLIC RECORDS ANALYSIS
The state’s annual data show substantial declines. They do not isolate the effect of any one council policy.
California DOJ records show 350 violent offenses and 2,783 property offenses excluding arson in 2025. Compared with 2022, counts fell 28.9% and 36.2%. These are reported offenses, not all victimization or population-adjusted risk.
HB Watch filtered the California DOJ annual data to Huntington Beach in Orange County, then checked that all 12 monthly entries were present for each year from 2022 through 2025. Violent and property totals reconcile between the monthly and annual files.
Violent crime in this series combines homicide, rape, robbery and aggravated assault. Property crime combines burglary, motor vehicle theft and larceny-theft. Arson is separate. Using the same categories throughout, both annual totals declined each year in the reviewed period.
| Calendar year | Violent offenses | Property, excluding arson | Arson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 492 | 4,364 | 44 |
| 2023 | 416 | 3,909 | 39 |
| 2024 | 394 | 3,781 | 31 |
| 2025 | 350 | 2,783 | 25 |
From 2024 to 2025, the violent total declined 11.2% and property declined 26.4%. Larceny-theft accounted for 832 of the 998 fewer property offenses. That does not mean every category improved: aggravated assault rose from 226 to 236, a 4.4% increase.
Homicide declined from five to two. The percentage decline is large because the starting number is small; the counts are more informative than a dramatic headline. These details make the aggregate improvement more precise, not less real.
Reported offenses are not all victimization. Residents’ willingness to report, classification practices and reporting systems can affect the data. DOJ combines summary reports and converted incident-based reports and explains hierarchy rules and rape-reporting caveats in its methodology. We have not independently established HBPD’s reporting-system transition dates.
These charts show counts. A per-resident rate would require consistent population denominators for every year, and would still need context about visitors and commuters. No comparable 2026 year-to-date series was verified in this edition, so no full-year 2026 figure, forecast or zero is displayed.
DOJ’s July 2026 statistical release reports that California’s violent crime rate declined 10.2% from 2024 to 2025 and its property crime rate declined 14.3%. Huntington Beach’s improvement therefore occurred against a broader favorable direction. The agency also warns that some agencies did not submit a full year during the transition to incident-based reporting.
These statewide figures are rates, while the local trend above uses counts. We do not subtract the two percentages and call the difference a council effect. Nor is an unadjusted comparison with a nearby city enough: population, reporting coverage, offense mix and visitor activity must be examined first. State officials’ claims of policy credit face the same causal standard as city officials’ claims.
The council approved a December 2022 item directing additional crime reporting and public-safety proposals. That is a documented oversight action. It is not proof that the direction caused the subsequent decline, or that every requested report was delivered.
Police operations, statewide trends, economic conditions, past investments and changes in reporting can all matter. This research does not estimate their individual effects. “Crime declined during this period” is supported. “This council cut crime by 29%” claims a causal result these records do not establish.
Some secondary summaries show a different 2022 violent total. The DOJ series used here totals 492, matching both its four component categories and its monthly records. We do not mix another publisher’s 2022 count with DOJ’s later years to produce a more favorable or unfavorable trend.
The appropriate next step is to reconcile source differences and examine implementation dates, staffing, response times, clearances and broader comparable trends. Arrests, calls for service and convictions are distinct measures; none should be substituted for reported crimes.
These are reporting questions. They are not findings that the city has acted improperly.
The verified annual crime trend is favorable, with some offense-level exceptions. Specific causal credit to the current council remains unproven.
Original records are linked below. Publication dates, measurement periods and limitations are preserved in the source library.